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docs(fairness): published methodology page — how outcome-confirmation, coverage, and intervals are computed #9725

Description

@JSONbored

Problem

/fairness publishes precision, coverage, and confidence intervals, but the method behind them (outcome-confirmation via merged/reopened/reverted scanning, window semantics, interval construction) lives in code and scattered issue history. Readers should be able to check the method, not just the number.

Scope

  • One docs page: data sources (decision ledger), outcome-confirmation rules, window/decay semantics, how coverage and confidence intervals are derived, and known limitations (e.g., outcomes that cannot be confirmed yet)
  • Linked from /fairness and from the verify-this-review walkthrough
  • Kept adjacent to the scoring code it describes so drift is reviewable in PRs

Acceptance

A reader can go from any number on /fairness to the exact rule that produced it without reading source code.

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