diff --git a/lib/JIT.php b/lib/JIT.php
index d8f28301c24..20dbb0ef81e 100644
--- a/lib/JIT.php
+++ b/lib/JIT.php
@@ -15398,7 +15398,7 @@ private function compileIncDecOp(Block $block, OpCode $op, bool $increment, bool
             Variable::TYPE_VALUE === $read->type
             && (Variable::KIND_VARIABLE === $read->kind || $read->functionStaticGlobal)
         ) {
-            $this->guardIncDecResourceOperand($read, $increment);
+            $this->guardIncDecResourceOperand($read, $increment, $readOp);
             $readPtr = JIT\JitValueBox::valuePtrFromVariable($this->context, $read);
             $cur = $this->readIncDecValueBoxLong($read, $readPtr, $increment);
             $one = $cur->typeOf()->constInt(1, false);
@@ -15435,7 +15435,7 @@ private function compileIncDecOp(Block $block, OpCode $op, bool $increment, bool
         }
 
         if (Variable::TYPE_NATIVE_LONG === $read->type && Variable::KIND_VARIABLE === $read->kind) {
-            $this->guardIncDecResourceOperand($read, $increment);
+            $this->guardIncDecResourceOperand($read, $increment, $readOp);
             $cur = $this->context->helper->loadValue($read);
             $one = $cur->typeOf()->constInt(1, false);
             $newLong = $increment
@@ -15528,11 +15528,20 @@ private function readIncDecValueBoxLong(
     }
 
     /** Reject ++/-- on stream/dir handles (issue #6396, zend_operators.c). */
-    private function guardIncDecResourceOperand(JIT\Variable $read, bool $increment): void
+    private function guardIncDecResourceOperand(
+        JIT\Variable $read,
+        bool $increment,
+        ?Operand $readOp = null
+    ): void
     {
         if (JIT\NestedJitCompileScope::isActive()) {
             return;
         }
+        // A value that provably came from a literal or from arithmetic cannot be a resource handle,
+        // so the guard is dead code — and it is expensive enough to dominate hot loops (#23483).
+        if (JIT\IncDecResourceProvenance::cannotBeResource($readOp)) {
+            return;
+        }
         $longVal = null;
         if (JIT\Variable::TYPE_NATIVE_LONG === $read->type) {
             $longVal = $this->context->helper->loadValue($read);
diff --git a/lib/JIT/IncDecResourceProvenance.php b/lib/JIT/IncDecResourceProvenance.php
new file mode 100644
index 00000000000..f2d78d37264
--- /dev/null
+++ b/lib/JIT/IncDecResourceProvenance.php
@@ -0,0 +1,162 @@
+<?php
+
+declare(strict_types=1);
+
+namespace PHPCompiler\JIT;
+
+use PHPCfg\Op;
+use PHPCfg\Operand;
+
+/**
+ * Prove that a native long cannot be a resource handle, so ++/-- can skip its guard (#23483).
+ *
+ * This compiler stores resource handles *as* native longs, and php-types has no resource type at
+ * all — `Type::TYPE_LONG` covers both an `int` and an open stream handle. So `++$x` on a
+ * TYPE_NATIVE_LONG genuinely cannot tell a loop counter from the result of `fopen()`, and
+ * {@see \PHPCompiler\JIT::guardIncDecResourceOperand()} conservatively guards every single ++/--
+ * with `__compiler_is_resource`.
+ *
+ * That guard is not cheap: it calls into {@see \PHPCompiler\ext\standard\StreamLifecycleJitHelper}
+ * which walks up to four separate handle registries. In
+ * `for ($i = 0; $i < 1000000; ++$i) { ++$a; }` that is two such calls per iteration, and measurably
+ * ~92% of the loop's runtime (135ms -> 11ms on build/micro/m_loop.php once elided). It also blocks
+ * every LLVM optimisation, because an opaque call in the loop body stops the counter allocas from
+ * being promoted out of memory.
+ *
+ * Resources are only ever *introduced* by a small set of builtins (fopen, opendir, proc_open, ...).
+ * A value flowing from an integer literal or from arithmetic therefore cannot be one, and the guard
+ * is dead code there. This walks the php-cfg producers of the read operand to prove exactly that.
+ *
+ * The analysis is deliberately conservative: anything it does not recognise — a call, a parameter,
+ * a property or array read — answers "unknown" and keeps the guard. Only the listed
+ * value-producing ops, which cannot yield a resource under any input, allow it to be dropped.
+ */
+final class IncDecResourceProvenance
+{
+    /**
+     * Ops whose result is a number, string, bool, array or object — never a resource handle.
+     *
+     * Coalesce is deliberately absent: `$x ?? fopen(...)` produces whatever the right side does.
+     * Assign and Phi are handled separately because they forward another operand's provenance.
+     */
+    private const NON_RESOURCE_OPS = [
+        Op\Expr\BinaryOp\Plus::class => true,
+        Op\Expr\BinaryOp\Minus::class => true,
+        Op\Expr\BinaryOp\Mul::class => true,
+        Op\Expr\BinaryOp\Div::class => true,
+        Op\Expr\BinaryOp\Mod::class => true,
+        Op\Expr\BinaryOp\Pow::class => true,
+        Op\Expr\BinaryOp\ShiftLeft::class => true,
+        Op\Expr\BinaryOp\ShiftRight::class => true,
+        Op\Expr\BinaryOp\BitwiseAnd::class => true,
+        Op\Expr\BinaryOp\BitwiseOr::class => true,
+        Op\Expr\BinaryOp\BitwiseXor::class => true,
+        Op\Expr\BinaryOp\Concat::class => true,
+        Op\Expr\BinaryOp\Equal::class => true,
+        Op\Expr\BinaryOp\NotEqual::class => true,
+        Op\Expr\BinaryOp\Identical::class => true,
+        Op\Expr\BinaryOp\NotIdentical::class => true,
+        Op\Expr\BinaryOp\Greater::class => true,
+        Op\Expr\BinaryOp\GreaterOrEqual::class => true,
+        Op\Expr\BinaryOp\Smaller::class => true,
+        Op\Expr\BinaryOp\SmallerOrEqual::class => true,
+        Op\Expr\BinaryOp\Spaceship::class => true,
+        Op\Expr\BinaryOp\LogicalXor::class => true,
+        Op\Expr\UnaryMinus::class => true,
+        Op\Expr\UnaryPlus::class => true,
+        Op\Expr\BitwiseNot::class => true,
+        Op\Expr\BooleanNot::class => true,
+        Op\Expr\PreInc::class => true,
+        Op\Expr\PostInc::class => true,
+        Op\Expr\PreDec::class => true,
+        Op\Expr\PostDec::class => true,
+        Op\Expr\ConcatList::class => true,
+        Op\Expr\Array_::class => true,
+        Op\Expr\Cast\Int_::class => true,
+        Op\Expr\Cast\Double::class => true,
+        Op\Expr\Cast\String_::class => true,
+        Op\Expr\Cast\Bool_::class => true,
+        Op\Expr\Cast\Array_::class => true,
+    ];
+
+    /** Bound on the producer walk, so a pathological CFG cannot cost more than the guard saves. */
+    private const MAX_VISITS = 64;
+
+    public static function cannotBeResource(?Operand $op): bool
+    {
+        if (!$op instanceof Operand) {
+            return false;
+        }
+        $seen = [];
+        $budget = self::MAX_VISITS;
+
+        return self::operandIsSafe($op, $seen, $budget);
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * @param array<int, true> $seen
+     */
+    private static function operandIsSafe(Operand $op, array &$seen, int &$budget): bool
+    {
+        if (--$budget < 0) {
+            return false;
+        }
+        $id = spl_object_id($op);
+        if (isset($seen[$id])) {
+            // Loop back-edge. Resource-ness can only be *introduced* by a producing op, and a cycle
+            // introduces nothing, so this edge carries no counter-example: the remaining edges of
+            // the phi still have to prove the property on their own.
+            return true;
+        }
+        $seen[$id] = true;
+
+        if ($op instanceof Operand\Literal) {
+            // Literals are parser-level scalars; a resource has no literal syntax.
+            return true;
+        }
+
+        $producers = $op->ops ?? [];
+        if ([] === $producers) {
+            // No producer in this CFG — a parameter, a bound closure var, or an operand written
+            // somewhere the analysis cannot see. Keep the guard.
+            return false;
+        }
+
+        foreach ($producers as $producer) {
+            if (!self::producerIsSafe($producer, $seen, $budget)) {
+                return false;
+            }
+        }
+
+        return true;
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * @param array<int, true> $seen
+     */
+    private static function producerIsSafe(Op $producer, array &$seen, int &$budget): bool
+    {
+        if (--$budget < 0) {
+            return false;
+        }
+        if (isset(self::NON_RESOURCE_OPS[$producer::class])) {
+            return true;
+        }
+        if ($producer instanceof Op\Phi) {
+            foreach ($producer->vars as $var) {
+                if (!$var instanceof Operand || !self::operandIsSafe($var, $seen, $budget)) {
+                    return false;
+                }
+            }
+
+            return true;
+        }
+        if ($producer instanceof Op\Expr\Assign) {
+            $expr = $producer->expr ?? null;
+
+            return $expr instanceof Operand && self::operandIsSafe($expr, $seen, $budget);
+        }
+
+        return false;
+    }
+}
diff --git a/test/differential/cases/g07_incdec_resource_provenance.php b/test/differential/cases/g07_incdec_resource_provenance.php
new file mode 100644
index 00000000000..2233f4226c8
--- /dev/null
+++ b/test/differential/cases/g07_incdec_resource_provenance.php
@@ -0,0 +1,55 @@
+<?php
+// #23483: ++/-- guards every native long with __compiler_is_resource, because resource handles
+// ARE native longs here and php-types has no resource type. IncDecResourceProvenance elides that
+// guard when the value provably comes from a literal or from arithmetic.
+//
+// The way that elision could go wrong is by dropping the guard on something that really is a
+// resource, so this keeps live handles open while incrementing integers whose values collide with
+// plausible handle ids (1, 2, 3 ...), and also increments across loop phis and function scope.
+$fh = fopen('php://memory', 'r+');
+$fh2 = fopen('php://memory', 'r+');
+
+$a = 1;
+++$a;
+$b = 2;
+++$b;
+$c = 3;
+++$c;
+$d = 4;
+--$d;
+echo "$a $b $c $d\n";
+
+// loop phi: counter and accumulator both flow literal -> phi -> ++ -> phi
+function counted(): int
+{
+    $acc = 0;
+    for ($i = 0; $i < 5; ++$i) {
+        ++$acc;
+    }
+
+    return $acc;
+}
+echo counted(), "\n";
+
+// arithmetic provenance, post/pre forms, and a decrement below zero
+$x = 10 - 7;
+$x++;
+$y = 2 * 3;
+$y--;
+echo "$x $y\n";
+
+$n = 0;
+$n--;
+$n--;
+echo $n, "\n";
+
+// resources still usable after all that incrementing
+fwrite($fh, 'alpha');
+rewind($fh);
+echo fread($fh, 5), "\n";
+fwrite($fh2, 'beta');
+rewind($fh2);
+echo fread($fh2, 4), "\n";
+fclose($fh);
+fclose($fh2);
+echo "done\n";