diff --git a/src/mcp/server.ts b/src/mcp/server.ts
index ec60cea129..e55e8d46ff 100644
--- a/src/mcp/server.ts
+++ b/src/mcp/server.ts
@@ -907,7 +907,7 @@ export class GittensoryMcp {
     server.registerTool(
       "gittensory_get_burden_forecast",
       {
-        description: "Return the cached or freshly-computed maintainer burden forecast for a repo, including projected review load, queue growth risk, stale PR signals, and a freshness marker.",
+        description: "Return the cached maintainer burden forecast for a repo, including projected review load, queue growth risk, stale PR signals, and a freshness marker.",
         inputSchema: ownerRepoShape,
         outputSchema: freshnessResponseOutputSchema,
       },
@@ -1577,10 +1577,7 @@ export class GittensoryMcp {
       };
     }
     return {
-      summary:
-        response.source === "snapshot"
-          ? `Gittensory burden forecast for ${fullName} (cached, ${response.freshness}).`
-          : `Gittensory burden forecast for ${fullName} (computed from cached metadata).`,
+      summary: `Gittensory burden forecast for ${fullName} (cached, ${response.freshness}).`,
       data: response as unknown as Record<string, unknown>,
     };
   }
diff --git a/src/services/burden-forecast.ts b/src/services/burden-forecast.ts
index 659373f02d..c4f850b3cf 100644
--- a/src/services/burden-forecast.ts
+++ b/src/services/burden-forecast.ts
@@ -1,11 +1,5 @@
-import {
-  getBurdenForecast,
-  getRepository,
-  listIssueSignalSample,
-  listOpenPullRequests,
-  listRecentMergedPullRequests,
-} from "../db/repositories";
-import { buildBurdenForecast, buildCollisionReport, type BurdenForecast } from "../signals/engine";
+import { getBurdenForecast, getRepository } from "../db/repositories";
+import type { BurdenForecast } from "../signals/engine";
 
 export const BURDEN_FORECAST_MAX_AGE_MS = 6 * 60 * 60 * 1000;
 
@@ -39,22 +33,7 @@ export async function loadOrComputeBurdenForecastResponse(env: Env, fullName: st
       report: cached.payload as unknown as BurdenForecast,
     };
   }
-  const [issues, pullRequests, recentMergedPullRequests] = await Promise.all([
-    listIssueSignalSample(env, repoFullName),
-    listOpenPullRequests(env, repoFullName),
-    listRecentMergedPullRequests(env, repoFullName),
-  ]);
-  const collisions = buildCollisionReport(repoFullName, issues, pullRequests, recentMergedPullRequests);
-  const report = buildBurdenForecast(repo, issues, pullRequests, collisions, 30);
-  return {
-    status: "ready",
-    source: "computed",
-    repoFullName,
-    generatedAt: report.generatedAt,
-    ageSeconds: 0,
-    freshness: "fresh",
-    report,
-  };
+  return null;
 }
 
 function forecastAgeMs(generatedAt: string): number {
diff --git a/test/integration/api.test.ts b/test/integration/api.test.ts
index c98a0d0d1d..8a550bb1d1 100644
--- a/test/integration/api.test.ts
+++ b/test/integration/api.test.ts
@@ -1718,13 +1718,12 @@ describe("api routes", () => {
     expect(snapshotIntelligenceBody.burdenForecastFreshness?.ageSeconds).toBeLessThan(Math.floor((BURDEN_FORECAST_MAX_AGE_MS + 120_000) / 1000));
 
     await upsertRepositoryFromGitHub(env, { name: "uncached-burden", full_name: "entrius/uncached-burden", private: false, owner: { login: "entrius" }, default_branch: "main" });
-    const computedIntelligence = await app.request("/v1/repos/entrius/uncached-burden/intelligence", { headers: apiHeaders(env) }, env);
-    expect(computedIntelligence.status).toBe(200);
-    await expect(computedIntelligence.json()).resolves.toMatchObject({
-      source: "computed",
-      burdenForecast: { repoFullName: "entrius/uncached-burden", level: "low" },
-      burdenForecastFreshness: { source: "computed", freshness: "fresh", ageSeconds: 0 },
-    });
+    const uncachedIntelligence = await app.request("/v1/repos/entrius/uncached-burden/intelligence", { headers: apiHeaders(env) }, env);
+    expect(uncachedIntelligence.status).toBe(200);
+    const uncachedIntelligenceBody = (await uncachedIntelligence.json()) as Record<string, unknown>;
+    expect(uncachedIntelligenceBody).toMatchObject({ source: "computed" });
+    expect(uncachedIntelligenceBody.burdenForecast).toBeUndefined();
+    expect(uncachedIntelligenceBody.burdenForecastFreshness).toBeUndefined();
 
     const degradedForecastEnv = withBurdenForecastReadFailure(env);
     const degradedIntelligence = await app.request("/v1/repos/entrius/allways-ui/intelligence", { headers: apiHeaders(env) }, degradedForecastEnv);
@@ -5049,26 +5048,20 @@ describe("api routes", () => {
       },
     });
 
-    await upsertRepositoryFromGitHub(env, { name: "mcp-computed-burden", full_name: "entrius/mcp-computed-burden", private: false, owner: { login: "entrius" }, default_branch: "main" });
-    const computedBurdenForecast = await app.request(
+    await upsertRepositoryFromGitHub(env, { name: "mcp-uncached-burden", full_name: "entrius/mcp-uncached-burden", private: false, owner: { login: "entrius" }, default_branch: "main" });
+    const uncachedBurdenForecast = await app.request(
       "/mcp",
       {
         method: "POST",
         headers: mcpHeaders(env),
-        body: JSON.stringify({ jsonrpc: "2.0", id: "computed-burden", method: "tools/call", params: { name: "gittensory_get_burden_forecast", arguments: { owner: "entrius", repo: "mcp-computed-burden" } } }),
+        body: JSON.stringify({ jsonrpc: "2.0", id: "uncached-burden", method: "tools/call", params: { name: "gittensory_get_burden_forecast", arguments: { owner: "entrius", repo: "mcp-uncached-burden" } } }),
       },
       env,
     );
-    expect(computedBurdenForecast.status).toBe(200);
-    await expect(mcpJson(computedBurdenForecast)).resolves.toMatchObject({
+    expect(uncachedBurdenForecast.status).toBe(200);
+    await expect(mcpJson(uncachedBurdenForecast)).resolves.toMatchObject({
       result: {
-        structuredContent: {
-          status: "ready",
-          source: "computed",
-          repoFullName: "entrius/mcp-computed-burden",
-          freshness: "fresh",
-          report: { repoFullName: "entrius/mcp-computed-burden", level: "low" },
-        },
+        structuredContent: { status: "not_found", repoFullName: "entrius/mcp-uncached-burden" },
       },
     });
 
diff --git a/test/unit/burden-forecast.test.ts b/test/unit/burden-forecast.test.ts
index 4cebe4257f..54b60fbed8 100644
--- a/test/unit/burden-forecast.test.ts
+++ b/test/unit/burden-forecast.test.ts
@@ -146,17 +146,13 @@ describe("loadOrComputeBurdenForecastResponse", () => {
     expect(response?.ageSeconds).toBe(Number.POSITIVE_INFINITY);
   });
 
-  it("falls back to a computed forecast when no snapshot exists but the repo is known", async () => {
+  it("returns null when no snapshot exists for a known repo", async () => {
     const env = createTestEnv();
     await upsertRepositoryFromGitHub(env, { name: "uncached", full_name: "owner/uncached", private: false, owner: { login: "owner" }, default_branch: "main" });
+
     const response = await loadOrComputeBurdenForecastResponse(env, "owner/uncached");
-    expect(response).toMatchObject({
-      status: "ready",
-      source: "computed",
-      freshness: "fresh",
-      ageSeconds: 0,
-    });
-    expect(response?.report).toMatchObject({ repoFullName: "owner/uncached", level: "low" });
+
+    expect(response).toBeNull();
   });
 
   it("does not call broad request-time listers when a cached forecast exists", async () => {
@@ -180,7 +176,7 @@ describe("loadOrComputeBurdenForecastResponse", () => {
     }
   });
 
-  it("uses only the bounded per-repo listers when computing a missing forecast", async () => {
+  it("does not call broad request-time listers when no cached forecast exists", async () => {
     const env = createTestEnv();
     await upsertRepositoryFromGitHub(env, { name: "computed-perf", full_name: "owner/computed-perf", private: false, owner: { login: "owner" }, default_branch: "main" });
     const repositoriesModule = await import("../../src/db/repositories");
@@ -192,10 +188,9 @@ describe("loadOrComputeBurdenForecastResponse", () => {
 
     const response = await loadOrComputeBurdenForecastResponse(env, "owner/computed-perf");
 
-    expect(response).toMatchObject({ source: "computed", report: { repoFullName: "owner/computed-perf" } });
+    expect(response).toBeNull();
     for (const spy of spies) {
-      expect(spy).toHaveBeenCalledTimes(1);
-      expect(spy).toHaveBeenCalledWith(env, "owner/computed-perf");
+      expect(spy).not.toHaveBeenCalled();
       spy.mockRestore();
     }
   });